Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 0.045380 0.053553 0.062711 0.073723 0.086597 0.101166 0.118897
2025-06-29 0.031592 0.041760 0.054435 0.071360 0.093333 0.120862 0.157941
2025-07-06 0.023627 0.034115 0.048315 0.068872 0.097792 0.136944 0.193888
2025-07-13 0.019575 0.030397 0.046080 0.070334 0.106759 0.159267 0.240520
2025-07-20 0.016425 0.027179 0.043711 0.070787 0.113813 0.179277 0.286110
2025-07-27 0.014061 0.024634 0.041770 0.071312 0.120676 0.199467 0.334237
2025-08-03 0.012305 0.022712 0.040415 0.072389 0.128308 0.221508 0.387827
2025-08-10 0.011076 0.021452 0.039904 0.074690 0.138116 0.248090 0.452070
2025-08-17 0.009363 0.019001 0.036895 0.072053 0.138786 0.258969 0.490291
2025-08-24 0.008249 0.017487 0.035340 0.071794 0.143612 0.277576 0.544387
2025-08-31 0.007226 0.015975 0.033546 0.070766 0.146750 0.293300 0.594815
2025-09-07 0.006616 0.015210 0.033101 0.072322 0.155079 0.319716 0.668776
2025-09-14 0.005836 0.013968 0.031532 0.071408 0.158437 0.337122 0.727726
2025-09-21 0.005086 0.012667 0.029646 0.069551 0.159578 0.350230 0.779656
2025-09-28 0.004409 0.011416 0.027679 0.067207 0.159306 0.360293 0.826312
2025-10-05 0.004074 0.010936 0.027392 0.068652 0.167678 0.389825 0.918780
2025-10-12 0.003716 0.010335 0.026728 0.069098 0.173784 0.415036 1.004565
2025-10-19 0.003402 0.009796 0.026129 0.069612 0.180102 0.441432 1.096172
2025-10-26 0.003150 0.009376 0.025768 0.070664 0.187864 0.472061 1.201335
2025-11-02 0.002977 0.009146 0.025865 0.072912 0.198919 0.511796 1.333103
2025-11-09 0.002617 0.008316 0.024237 0.070336 0.197187 0.520103 1.388214
2025-11-16 0.002389 0.007837 0.023499 0.070082 0.201561 0.544162 1.485977
2025-11-23 0.002159 0.007310 0.022543 0.069078 0.203760 0.562895 1.572150